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3.7.2023

Inflation: Kein Ende in Sicht?

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Edgar Walk

Im Börsengespräch bei Deutschlandfunk Wirtschaft am Mittag, dem 29.Juni 2023, schätzte Edgar Walk, Chefvolkswirt von Metzler Asset Management, die Inflationsentwicklung in Deutschland ein.

Die von Wirtschaftsexperten erwartete Inflationsrate für den Juni liegt bei 6,3 Prozent. Walk betonte den signifikanten Einfluss des Basiseffekts auf die Preisentwicklung. Während die Energiepreise gesunken sind und es möglicherweise auch bei Lebensmitteln zu Entlastungen kommen könnte, führt die hohe Nachfrage im Dienstleistungsbereich zu Preiserhöhungen. Dennoch gibt Walk für das kommende Jahr eine optimistischere Prognose ab. Zudem wies er darauf hin, dass die Zentralbank ein besonderes Augenmerk auf die sogenannte Kerninflation legt, da diese möglicherweise hartnäckig über 5 Prozent bleiben könnte. Eine erneute Zinserhöhung und längere Phase hoher Zinsen könnten die Folge sein.

Wie die weiteren Aussichten sind, hören Sie im aktuellen Börsengespräch beim Deutschlandfunk.

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This document published by Metzler Asset Management GmbH [together with its affiliated companies as defined in section 15 et seq. of the German Public Limited Companies Act (Aktiengesetz – "AktG”), jointly referred to hereinafter as “Metzler“] contains information obtained from public sources which Metzler deems to be reliable. However, Metzler cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information. Metzler reserves the right to make changes to the opinions, projections, estimates and forecasts given in this document without notice and shall have no obligation to update this document or inform the recipient in any other way if any of the statements contained herein should be altered or prove incorrect, incomplete or misleading.

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